This week on Credit Matters, Shankar Ramakrishnan kicks off with expectations for a massive March with $230B of new supply and a potential $2T year.
He and Bruce Clark discuss the demand “technicals” behind strong issuance, attractive 4–6% yields, and near-non-existent default rates, alongside risks from volatility tied to the Iran war, oil-price shocks, inflation, and shifting rate-cut expectations.
Clark outlines how early-2026 “Goldilocks” conditions were supported by strong earnings and falling treasury yields before the conflict reversed yields and darkened sentiment, amplified by a weak February payroll report.
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