24th June 2025
Markets turned midday yesterday after Iran’s retaliation for the weekend’s U.S. airstrikes was viewed as largely symbolic. That helped ease concerns of a broader escalation in the Middle East. Sentiment improved further after the close when President Trump announced a potential Iran-Israel ceasefire deal.
Stocks finished higher across the board. The Dow rose 375 points, the S&P 500 gained 0.96%, and the Nasdaq added 0.94%. Oil plunged nearly 9%. In rates, the 10-year yield fell 3 basis points to 4.348%, the 2-year dropped 4 basis points to 3.863%, and the long bond slipped 1 basis point to 4.875%.
Six borrowers came to market, raising $8.95 billion across 10 tranches. JBS USA led the way with a three-part deal totaling $3.5 billion. It's a solid start to the week, which is expected to see around $23 billion in total issuance.
As for today, futures are pointing to a higher open on optimism surrounding the ceasefire talks. Dow futures are up 262 points, the S&P is set to rise 0.77%, and Nasdaq futures are up 1%. Treasury yields are continuing to move lower. The 10-year is down 1bp to 4.336%, the 2-year is 3bp lower at 3.838%, and the long bond is unchanged at 4.881%.
With the backdrop for issuance looking stable, borrowers are moving ahead with deals today. Three transactions were announced overnight - Nomura, Westpac Banking Corporation, and Toyota - and as many as 10 more are expected to be announced later this morning.
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2025 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - 06/23 WEEK, JUNE & 2025 ESTIMATES
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6/23 WK | LO EST | AVE EST | HI EST | ACTUAL | JUN | LO EST | AVE EST | HI EST | ACTUAL | 2025 | LO EST | AVE EST | HI EST | ACTUAL |
EX-SSA | $15.0B | $23.0B | $30.0B | $8.95B | EX-SSA | $90.0B | $105.0B | $125.0B | $74,700 | EX-SSA | $1.350B | $1.650B | $1.900B | $881,286 |
OVERALL | $25.0B | $30.0B | $40.0B | $13.45B | OVERALL | $110.0B | $125.0B | $140.0B | $108,550 | OVERALL | $1.550B | $1.900B | $2.100B | $1,128,113 |
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2025 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - RECENT MANDATES
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DATE | ISSUER | RATINGS | MGRS | CALL | PROPOSED DEAL |
25-Mar | NATL HEALTH INVESTORS | BAA3/BBB- | BOA/JPM/WFS | 25-Mar | |
27-Mar | REPSOL | NR/BBB+ | C/GS/JPM | 27-Mar | 144A REG S MULTI-TRANCHE |
31-Mar | RWE AG | BAA2/BBB+ | BARC/BNP/JPM/MIZ/MS | 31-Mar | 144A REG S GREEN DEAL |
24-Apr | ANTOFAGASTA | NR/BBB | BOA/BBVA/CA/GS/JPM/MUFG/NTX/SCOT/UBS | 24-Apr | 10YR 144A REG S DEAL |
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