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[MORNING CALL] Calmer Waters for Credit

24th June 2025

Markets turned midday yesterday after Iran’s retaliation for the weekend’s U.S. airstrikes was viewed as largely symbolic. That helped ease concerns of a broader escalation in the Middle East. Sentiment improved further after the close when President Trump announced a potential Iran-Israel ceasefire deal.

Stocks finished higher across the board. The Dow rose 375 points, the S&P 500 gained 0.96%, and the Nasdaq added 0.94%. Oil plunged nearly 9%. In rates, the 10-year yield fell 3 basis points to 4.348%, the 2-year dropped 4 basis points to 3.863%, and the long bond slipped 1 basis point to 4.875%.

Six borrowers came to market, raising $8.95 billion across 10 tranches. JBS USA led the way with a three-part deal totaling $3.5 billion. It's a solid start to the week, which is expected to see around $23 billion in total issuance.

As for today, futures are pointing to a higher open on optimism surrounding the ceasefire talks. Dow futures are up 262 points, the S&P is set to rise 0.77%, and Nasdaq futures are up 1%. Treasury yields are continuing to move lower. The 10-year is down 1bp to 4.336%, the 2-year is 3bp lower at 3.838%, and the long bond is unchanged at 4.881%.

With the backdrop for issuance looking stable, borrowers are moving ahead with deals today. Three transactions were announced overnight - Nomura, Westpac Banking Corporation, and Toyota - and as many as 10 more are expected to be announced later this morning.

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2025 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - 06/23 WEEK, JUNE & 2025 ESTIMATES

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6/23 WKLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUALJUNLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL2025LO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL
EX-SSA$15.0B$23.0B$30.0B$8.95BEX-SSA$90.0B$105.0B$125.0B$74,700EX-SSA$1.350B$1.650B$1.900B$881,286
OVERALL$25.0B$30.0B$40.0B$13.45BOVERALL$110.0B$125.0B$140.0B$108,550OVERALL$1.550B$1.900B$2.100B$1,128,113

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2025 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - RECENT MANDATES

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DATEISSUERRATINGSMGRSCALLPROPOSED DEAL
25-MarNATL HEALTH INVESTORSBAA3/BBB-BOA/JPM/WFS25-Mar
27-MarREPSOLNR/BBB+C/GS/JPM27-Mar144A REG S MULTI-TRANCHE
31-MarRWE AGBAA2/BBB+BARC/BNP/JPM/MIZ/MS31-Mar144A REG S GREEN DEAL
24-AprANTOFAGASTANR/BBBBOA/BBVA/CA/GS/JPM/MUFG/NTX/SCOT/UBS24-Apr10YR 144A REG S DEAL


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