This site is part of the Informa Connect Division of Informa PLC

This site is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them. Informa PLC's registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 3099067.

Things That Stick Out: Government Shutdown Drives Bid in Treasuries

Very positive price action in Treasuries today, best seen in a chart of TLT, the most widely traded bond ETF.

Any techhie will tell you that the upside breakout/backtest/resumption pattern traced out over the past month strongly suggests more price appreciation.

In fact, my colleague Ed Blake reckons the 30-year Treasury yield is poised for a decline of another 10-15 basis points. See: US 30YR YIELD TECH

Makes sense. By the time the Senate returns on Tuesday, the shutdown will be entering its third week. The conversation will then shift to who’s not getting paid and how it will impact the economy. See: Things That Stick Out: Friday Morning Meeting

To receive this analysis plus much more, subscribe to IGM. Request your free trial of the service today.