CEEMEA OPEN: Bahrain lands deal before Thanksgiving break and month-end
- It is the US Thanksgiving holiday today & cash treasury markets; stock exchanges & open outcry pits are closed but equity & debt futures are open for a shortened electronic session (close 18.00GMT).
- Of course, US market participants will be out for the day (and many will be absent from desks tomorrow too) for Thanksgiving Day celebrations. There is a convenient expectation amid some traders that activity could grind to a halt during this period, but of course occasionally these inevitably thinner conditions can work to exacerbate moves, particularly on a theoretically big breaking news item.
- Still, the USD starts the day a touch firmer after Wednesday's barrage of mostly as forecast US data (Q3 GDP, core PCE).
- To recap matters from Wed, the headline PCE Price Index climbed in Oct as expected, printing +2.3% Y/Y (BBG median +2.3%; Sep +2.1%), putting the gauge at a high not seen since Aug '24. The core gauge also ticked higher to print +2.8% Y/Y (BBG median +2.8%; Sep was +2.7%).
- Meanwhile, the second estimate of the Q3 GDP came in as expected, growing at a solid 2.8% Q/Q (BBG median +2.8%; prior +2.8%), supported by consumer spending and business investments.
- S&P500 ended 0.4% lower but the futures are up 0.1% ahead of the EZ open & Chinese indices softer in late trade.
- Nikkei hit a 1mth low then traded 0.9% in the black while Bitcoin hit a 3-day high o/night then softened.
- Dec24 Bunds have added 15 ticks to 134.12 vs an 8-week peak at 134.33 yesterday.
Fresh in the CEEMEA Pipeline
- No new additions to pipeline.
On the Radar
- It’s been a fairly quiet week in CEEMEA so far, with just the one deal having landed this week, as US markets shut for the Thanksgiving public holiday today (November 28).
- The Kingdom of Bahrain, acting through the Ministry of Finance and National Economy, rated B+ (stable) by S&P and B+ (stable) by Fitch, has now priced its USD1.25bn Reg S fixed ling 7yr Senior Unsecured Sukuk at 5.875%. That’s in from the 6.25% area IPTs after attracting over USD3.50bn in final demand, excluding JLM interest.
Priced Deals
Date | Issuer | Ccy | Amount (m) | Coupon | Maturity | Yield | Spread | IPTS to Pxd | Book size (m) | Coverage | NICs |
27-Nov | Republic of Bahrain | USD | 1250 | 5.875 | 05/06/2032 | 5.875 | -37.5 | 3500 |
What to watch on Thursday
- In CEEMEA, Polish final 3Q GDP (09GMT) and S. African PPI (09.30GMT) is on tap.
- An empty agenda in the US with markets closed for Thanksgiving.
- Central bankers expected to speak today include only the ECB’s Villeroy, Knot & Lane
Wider market Sentiment
- USD Index at 106.241
- UST 2yr/10yr at 4.227%/4.263%
- Bund 2yr/10yr at 2.023%/2.157%
- Brent at $72.67/brl
---- Subscribe to read more ----
To receive this analysis plus much more, subscribe to IGM. Request your free trial of the service today.