CEEMEA OPEN: Pipeline activity cools as the week ends
- The Dollar's bullish momentum continues, being pushed to a 1-yr high of 107.195 following a series of Fed speeches; Fed's Barkin said in an interview with FT that the the Us economy is more vulnerable to inflationary shocks than in the past, with businesses being more willing to pass on costs to consumers. Businesses are also currently more “concerned” about the outlook for inflation under the incoming Trump administration, pushing the need for data dependence.
- While Fed's Goolsbee sees rates moving “a fair bit lower”, and that the jobs market has "cooled to something close to stable full employment", supporting further rate cuts in the months ahead.
- Similarly, Fed's Schmid said that he does not believe that interest rates are currently overly restrictive and that the Fed will likely wait for fiscal policy to be finalized by the incoming administration before reacting.
- Whereas Fed's Williams mentioned that while there has been a “significant decline in inflation” towards the 2% target, the economy is however “not quite there yet.”
- S&P500 added 0.55% to a 1wk high on Thurs but the futures are -0.15% ahead of the EZ open. Nikkei added 1% but Hang Seng shed 1.6% to an 8wk low. Brent futures have climbed to a 2wk high
Fresh in the CEEMEA Pipeline
- No new additions to pipeline.
On the Radar
- CEC Bank S.A., a publicly owned leading bank in Romania, rated BB (stable) by Fitch, has now priced its EUR300m Reg S Senior Non-Preferred Bond with a 5NC4 tenor at 5.625%, in from the 5.625% - 5.75% guidance and in from the 6% area IPTs. The book size came in at EUR600mn, peaking at EUR800mn, excluding JLM interest.
- Turkiye Garanti Bankası A.Ş., rated Ba3 (positive) by Moody’s / BB- (stable) by Fitch, has now priced its USD750 Reg S 10yr (Jan-2035) Fixed Rate Resettable Tier 2 Notes at 8.125%, in from the 8.375% area IPTs. Orderbooks came in at USD1.3bn, peaking at USD1.5bn excluding JLM interest.
Priced Deals
Date | Issuer | Ccy | Amount (m) | Coupon | Maturity | Yield | Spread | IPTS to Pxd | Book size (m) | Coverage | NICs |
21-Nov | Turkiye Garanti Bankası A.S. | USD | 750 | 8.125 | 03/01/2035 | 8.125 | -25 | 1300 | 1.73 | ||
21-Nov | CEC Bank | EUR | 300 | 0.056 | 28/11/2029 | 5.625 | -37.5 | 600 | 2.00 |
What to watch on Friday
- In CEEMEA, Russia's Money supply (8GMT) is due.
- In the US, PMI data is due (14:45GMT) along with Uni of Michigan sentiment (15GMT) & KC Fed services (16GMT).
- Central bankers expected to speak today include the ECB’s Lagarde Villeroy, Guindos, Nagel and Schnabel.
Wider market Sentiment
- USD Index at 107.086
- UST 2yr/10yr at 4.345%/4.412%
- Bund 2yr/10yr at 2.113%/2.323%
- Brent at $74.41/brl
---- Subscribe to read more ----
To receive this analysis plus much more, subscribe to IGM. Request your free trial of the service today.