CREDIT BULLETS: Sterling market in focus on Epiphany Day
- European stocks make tentative gains on Monday morning¸ driven by a jump in semi-conductor names like ASML after Microsoft plans to spend big on data centres stoked interest. Wall Street futures were also higher at the time of writing after US stocks gained Friday. Over in Asia, Nikkei fell by up to 1.6% in its first trading session of the year while the tough start to 2025 for Chinese equities continued despite an unexpected Dec rise in China’s Caixin service PMI. Sticking with PMIs and final data from the core and initial updates from the periphery were mostly better than expected Monday, as fully detailed below
- Stoxx600 rises as much as 0.33%, buoyed by Tech stocks which were up 2.5% at the time of writing
- Govvies: EGB yields are mostly higher across the board. Comes amid a rise in Treasuries, with 30yr UST hitting its highest since Nov 2023 at 4.847%
- Primary: The euro market is set to record a predictable blank on Monday given the holiday on parts of the continent, instead leaving the focus on sterling. That with two FIG (Credit Ag & Nationwide B/S) names working senior non-pref deals in the currency, joined by SSA issuers ADB and KfW which are backing up a quartet of SSAs to tap GBP last week
- SSA SNAPSHOT: EUR deals absent as issuers look elsewhere
- Performance checker of Fri's EUR benchmark deals(bp change from reoffer) –
- SSA: BPIFRA 2.75% 02/29 OAT -1
- Ahead: German national CPI figure is due along with a mini-flurry of US data (details below). Fed’s Cook speaks and the US sells USD58bn 3yr Notes. S&P futures +0.5% and Nasdaq futures +0.7%
Live deals
Issuer | Deal Type | CCY | Amount (mn) | Maturity | Initial Price Talk | Latest Px Talk | Final Pricing | Book Size (mn) |
Senior unsecured | GBP | 1,000 | 15/01/2030 | - | - | SONIA m/s+43 | 1,500 | |
Senior non-preferred | GBP | TBD | 7.5NC6.5 | UKT+135-140a | - | UKT+120 | 1,750 | |
Senior unsecured | GBP | TBD | 31/01/2028 | SONIA m/s+33a | - | SONIA m/s+32 | 1,900 | |
Senior non-preferred | GBP | TBD | 8NC7 | UKT+125a | - | - | 1,400 | |
Senior unsecured | USD | 500 | 16/01/2035 | SOFR m/s+78a | - | - | Tue’s biz |
Fresh in the pipeline
Issuer | CCY | Notes |
EUR | bmk Jun 2035 syndicated OLO | |
EUR | bmk Apr-2028 & 3bn wng Jan-2035 two-part | |
World Bank / International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) | USD | bmk 7yr SDB |
Key Data
- JN Dec F Jibun Bank Japan Composite / Services PMIs revised down to 50.5/50.9 (50.8/51.4 flash)
- CH Dec Caixin China Services PMI beat at 52.2 (f/c 51.4, prev 51.5), Composite figure lower at 51.4 (prev 52.3)
- SP Dec HCOB Spain Composite / Services PMIs beat at 56.8/57.3 (f/c 54.3/54.1, prev 53.2/53.1)
- IT Dec HCOB Italy Composite/ Services PMI mixed at 49.7/50.7 (f/c 50.1/50.0, prev 47.7/49.2)
- FR Dec F HCOB France Composite / Services PMI revised up to 47.5/49.3 (flash 46.7/48.2)
- GE Dec F HCOB Germany Composite / Services PMI revised up to 48.0/51.2 (flash 47.8/51.0)
- EC Dec F HCOB Eurozone Composite / Services PMI revised up to 49.6/51.6 (flash 49.5/51.4)
- EC Jan Sentix Investor Confidence higher than exp at -17.7 (f/c -17.9, prev -17.5)
- UK Dec F S&P Global UK Composite / Services PMI revised lower to 50.4/51.1 (flash 50.5/51.4)
Auctions
- No key term auctions took place on the morning of Monday 6th Jan
Ahead
- GE Dec P CPI (13:00)
- US Dec F S&P Global US Composite / Services PMI (14:45)
- US Nov Factory Orders (15:00)
- US Nov F Durable Goods Orders (15:00)
- Fed’s Cook (14:30)
- US to sell USD58bn 3yr Notes (18:00)
All times GMT
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