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[MIDDAY UPDATE:] Data Deluge

  • No deals were announced today
  • Stocks: DOW (+345), S&P500 (+0.27%) and NASDAQ (+0.05%)
  • Treasury yields are lower with the benchmark 10yr yielding 3.766% (-3bp), the long bond yielding 4.101% (-3bp), and the 2yr yielding 3.598% (-3bp)
  • Corporate spreads are unchanged with the average high grade bond trading 92bp over comparable Treasuries
  • Traders in the Fed Funds future market are putting the odds of a 25bp rate cut in November at 45.9% down from 49.6% last week, with a 50bp cut at 54.1% up from 50.4% last week
  • Personal Income rose 0.2% in August, lower than the 0.4% expected
  • Personal Spending rose 0.2% as well, vs expectations of 0.3%
  • Core PCE rose 0.1% on a MoM basis, lower than expectations of 0.2%
  • Wholesale Inventories were 0.2% higher in August, in line with expectations
  • U of Michigan Sentiment rose to 70.1 vs expectations of 69.4

2024 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE- 09/23 WEEK, SEPTEMBER & 2024 ESTIMATES

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09/23 WKLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUALSEPLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL2024LO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL
EX-SSA$15.0B$24.0B$35.0B$37,000EX-SSA$125.0B$137.0B$146.0B$170,200EX-SSA$1.100B$1.275B$1.350B$1,286,158
OVERALL$25.0B$30.0B$40.0B$52,070OVERALL$140.0B$150.0B$165.0B$216,185OVERALL$1.350B$1.420B$1.550B$1,626,443


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2024 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - RECENT MANDATES

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ANNOUNCEDISSUERRATINGSMGRSCALLDEAL
7-AugFARMERS INSURANCEBAA3/BBB+BOA/C/JPM/WFS7-Aug40NC30 SURPLUS NOTES
9-SepSP GROUPAA1/AA+BNP/MS23-Sep

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