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[MIDDAY UPDATE]: Data, No Deals

  • No issuers announced deals today as issuance continues to take a pause for the Thanksgiving holiday in the US
  • This marks the 23rd ex-SSA zero issuance day of the year
  • Stocks: DOW (+81), S&P500 (-0.28%) and NASDAQ (-0.80%)
  • Treasury yields are lower with the benchmark 10yr yielding 4.265% (-4), the long bond yielding 4.442% (-4bp), and the 2yr yielding 4.223% (-3bp)
  • Corporate spreads widened 1bp with the average high grade bond trading 81bp over comparable Treasuries
  • Traders in the Fed Funds future market are putting the odds of a 25bp rate cut in December at 66.5% up from 55.7% since last week and no cut at 33.5% down from 44.3% from last week
  • MBA Mortgage Applications rose 6.3% vs +1.7% last week
  • 3Q GDP came in at 2.8% on a QoQ basis, in line with expectations
  • October Durable Goods Orders rose 0.2% vs estimates of 0.5%
  • Initial Jobless Claims were 213k last week, in line with expectations
  • Nov Chicago PMI fell to 40.2 vs estimates of 45.0
  • Personal Income rose 0.6% vs estimates of 0.3%
  • Personal Spending rose 0.4%, in line with expectations

2024 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE- 11/25 WEEK, NOVEMBER & 2024 ESTIMATES

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11/25 WKLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUALNOVLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL2024LO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL
EX-SSA$2.5B$7.0B$15.0B$13,700EX-SSA$50.0B$70.0B$90.0B$98,700EX-SSA$1.100B$1.275B$1.350B$1,482,208
OVERALL$4.0B$9.0B$17.5B$13,700OVERALL$70.0B$85.0B$100.0B$105,200OVERALL$1.350B$1.420B$1.550B$1,853,723

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