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[MIDDAY UPDATE:] Steady as She Goes

  • 5 ex-SSA issuers announced deals today (see table below)
  • 3 SSA deals were also announced
  • Stocks: DOW (-85), S&P500 (+0.12%) and NASDAQ (+0.38%)
  • Treasury yields are higher with the benchmark 10yr yielding 3.770% (+4bp), the long bond yielding 4.123% (+4bp), and the 2yr yielding 3.545% (+4bp)
  • Corporate spreads are unchanged with the average high grade bond trading 92bp over comparable Treasuries
  • Traders in the Fed Funds future market are putting the odds of a 25bp rate cut in November at 44.5% down from 62.2% last week, with a 50bp cut at 55.5% up from 37% last week
  • MBA Mortgage Applications rose 11% last week
  • New Home Sales came in at 716k for August, higher than the 700k expected

2024 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE- 09/23 WEEK, SEPTEMBER & 2024 ESTIMATES

.

09/23 WKLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUALSEPLO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL2024LO ESTAVE ESTHI ESTACTUAL
EX-SSA$15.0B$24.0B$35.0B$20,450EX-SSA$125.0B$137.0B$146.0B$153,650EX-SSA$1.100B$1.275B$1.350B$1,269,608
OVERALL$25.0B$30.0B$40.0B$30,950OVERALL$140.0B$150.0B$165.0B$195,065OVERALL$1.350B$1.420B$1.550B$1,605,323

.

2024 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - 09/25 CALENDAR

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AMTISSUERMATRATINGSMGRTALK
TBAORCL29BAA2/BBBCITI+100 A
TBAORCL34BAA2/BBBJPM+125 A
TBAORCL54BAA2/BBBBOA+155 A
TBAORCL64BAA2/BBBBOA+170 A
400ANGINC29NR/BBBWFS+250 A
TBAARESSI30BAA3/NRJPM+260 A
AMTISSUERMATRATINGSMGRTALK
TBADANBNK30BAA1/A-BOA+135 A
TBAKOREAT28A3/A-CITI+80

.

2024 HIGH GRADE ISSUANCE - RECENT MANDATES

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ANNOUNCEDISSUERRATINGSMGRSCALLDEAL
7-AugFARMERS INSURANCEBAA3/BBB+BOA/C/JPM/WFS7-Aug40NC30 SURPLUS NOTES
9-SepSP GROUPAA1/AA+BNP/MS23-Sep


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